Global Threat Forecast 2026

In 2026, intensifying great-power rivalry and regional geopolitical competition are likely to continue shaping a fragmented global threat environment.

In parallel, non-state armed groups driven by religious, ethnic, and ideological motivations are assessed to remain persistent threats to governments and social cohesion, particularly across parts of Asia, Africa, and the Middle East.

While I have given a few key insights in this post, I have written a much more comprehensive summary of the key threats the world will face this year based on trends and data. You can read that article here